Ayade’s downfall is the Good Omen for Onor to be elected the next Governor of C’River State

By Tom Garba

Governor Ben Ayade of Cross River state had eight years of political wreck journey. This is because of his failure to make it to the senate chambers after his much desires as a sitting Governor. He may made a huge lost from supposedly winning the election of the Northern senatorial zone as an incumbent Governor with Over 20,000 gap of votes in Cross River North.

Any student of politics will consider Ayade to have woefully fail in delivering on the mandate of the people during his eight years of stewardship. He was unable to take the horns of the political bulls of 2023 to the extent of having a colossal loss even in Central Senatorial District with a 3000 votes margin.

Hon Dan Asuquo, his closest political ally of the Labor Party lost out. This is to say that the politics of Ayade and Hon Legor are in a stupor of dying because the last presidential election shows a significant loss as a result of Ayade’s failure of eight years of governance.

It is a red line of anticipated mass defection of politicians from APC to PDP. A movement that will be seen as an exodus of total burial of APC in Cross River State.

The anticipated movement of Ayade’s political appointees will consolidate thousands of votes for Sandy Onor, the People’s Democratic Party, PDP, candidate

The glarchancences of Sandy winning is the return of Senators and grassroots politicians from Etung, central senatorial district who will also work hard to see that the PDP candidate returned elected next week.

Plus or minus, by a way of checking and balancing, and however it would have been, the total sum of PDP votes in North, Central, and South is Higher than APC, this implies that Ayade will never be Governor if he will be given a chance to contest.

In Southern Senatorial zone of the state is presently sharply divided between the two dominant tribes of Ejagams and Efiks. The Ejagams being Majority have never produced a Senator or Governor. This is pitching them against Efik Prince Otu. Hence the South will have a narrow line win for Prince Otu but not enough to close the wide gap up North. These are all factors working in favor of Onor to become the next Governor.

It is going to be a win-loss case scenario as the Central will have a Narrow win for Senator Sandy of PDP. The situation will favor Sandy with pull out voters from that axis.

The “Obedient” movement in North and Central Senatorial districts is another factor. The Labor voters seem to be in a political marriage of convenience in other to bring APC into outer darkness. They are working in agreement with the PDP folks with confirmed information that there is an ongoing discussion being headed by Engr Paul Obi, a former APC Zonal Organizing Secretary and one time an NEC Member of the APC party.

Paul is a crowd puller of noticeable records as his last defection to PDP on the 24th of February came with unprecedented supporters cutting across Youth and women, and hundreds of eligible voters to bring on board Mr. Sandy Onor elected Governor of Cross River State.

The movement of Paul out of APC to PDP is one of the sure banker support Sandy is having that his ticket in PDP is guaranteed for winning and Obi’s return altered the Political Dynamics of the Northern Senatorial District as the political pendulum of Cross River state is swinging against Ayade in favor of Sandy.

Ayade’s failure to clinch the victory votes to the senate is his worst political blow and a mishap that will take him many years to redeem. All because his eight years performance as a Governor was rather retrogressive than Progressive.

Tom Garba is a Journalist and Opinion molder. He is also a political analyst.
He wrote this piece from Abuja, the Capital city of Nigeria.
He can be reached through these means
Phone:08030525759,08172570959
E-Mail: tomgarba5@gmail.com